Middle Village Eviction Risk: High , New York

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $61,786, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Cost burden runs 59% here against 49.8% across Queens County. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.

The filing record is not thin: 54 evictions over 7 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.3% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Queens. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Queens County average of 9.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.