Northport Eviction Risk: Elevated

The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.8/10.

At $1,769 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Northport commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.2% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.8 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 11% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.