Melville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 76% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $97,700, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 6.6% against 17.8% nationally.

At $2,823 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Melville commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

It sits 0.8 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.