Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Smithtown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103134909 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,397 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Smithtown
Census tract 36103134909 covers part of Smithtown, NY, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,397 residents. The severe-burden share is 49%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,358
Renter share12.7%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$155,776
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
17
th percentile
Very Low
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Smithtown and the region
Centroid at 40.8507, -73.2024 · click any tract to drill in
Why Smithtown scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Smithtown
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,435 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Smithtown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Smithtown
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Smithtown
5.3
How Smithtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.5%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 14.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Smithtown
Cost burden runs 65% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10.
At $2,435 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Smithtown commands. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103134909
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103134909?
Census tract 36103134909 in Smithtown scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103134909?
Median gross rent is $2,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103134909?
3.2% of residents in tract 36103134909 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,397.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103134909?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 14th, minority 29th, housing 54th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103134909 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103134909 compare to Smithtown overall?
Tract 36103134909 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Smithtown at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smithtown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Smithtown
Top eight tracts in Smithtown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related