Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Central Islip Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36103146203 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,939
In Central Islip, census tract 36103146203 scores 6.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,210 monthly, set against $110,077 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,237
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$110,077
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
25
th percentile
Low
National
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Central Islip and the region
Centroid at 40.7843, -73.2021 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Islip scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Central Islip
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,210 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Central Islip
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Central Islip
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Central Islip
7.0
How Central Islip compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 32.1%Food insecurity
- 25.9%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 18.8%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Islip
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 5.6 and in line with the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 26.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103146203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103146203?
Census tract 36103146203 in Central Islip scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103146203?
Median gross rent is $2,210/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103146203?
11.8% of residents in tract 36103146203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,939.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103146203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 57th, minority 91th, housing 54th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103146203 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103146203 compare to Central Islip overall?
Tract 36103146203 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Central Islip at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Central Islip eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Central Islip
Top eight tracts in Central Islip ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related