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Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Mastic Beach Eviction Risk: High

Tract 36103159509 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,766

36103159509 is a census tract in Mastic Beach, NY. It scores 8.5/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 71%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 5% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,184
Renter share16.7%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate37.3%
Median income$107,730

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Mastic Beach
Low
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Very High
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#2,229 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,413 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mastic Beach and the region

Centroid at 40.7523, -72.8550 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mastic Beach scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mastic Beach
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
37.3% poverty · this tract
9.3
Supply constraint
$2,906 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mastic Beach
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mastic Beach
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mastic Beach
8.9

How Mastic Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mastic Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 1595097.1Mastic Beachparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mastic Beach

Cost burden runs 71% here against 51.3% across Suffolk County. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 9.3/10.

The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.2 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $107,730, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $2,906 a month, rents run 20% over what the rest of Mastic Beach commands. Food insecurity runs 27.7% against 17.8% nationally.

The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36103159509

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103159509?

Census tract 36103159509 in Mastic Beach scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36103159509?

Median gross rent is $2,906/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36103159509?

37.3% of residents in tract 36103159509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,766.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36103159509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 18th, minority 54th, housing 1th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36103159509 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36103159509 compare to Mastic Beach overall?

Tract 36103159509 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Mastic Beach at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mastic Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mastic Beach

Top eight tracts in Mastic Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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