Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally
Middle Island Eviction Risk: High
Tract 36103158708 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,365
With a score of 8.5/10, tract 36103158708 in Middle Island, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,365 residents. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,651
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate20.8%
Median income$67,928
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
National
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middle Island and the region
Centroid at 40.8716, -72.9483 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middle Island scores 8.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middle Island
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.8% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$1,609 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle Island
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle Island
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle Island
7.7
How Middle Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.2%Food insecurity
- 17.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middle Island
Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. It sits 2.2 points above the Suffolk County average of 6.3.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,609 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Middle Island commands. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $67,928.
41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103158708
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103158708?
Census tract 36103158708 in Middle Island scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103158708?
Median gross rent is $1,609/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103158708?
20.8% of residents in tract 36103158708 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,365.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103158708?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 51th, minority 42th, housing 63th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103158708 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103158708 compare to Middle Island overall?
Tract 36103158708 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Middle Island at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middle Island
Top eight tracts in Middle Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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