Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Bay View Eviction Risk: Elevated , Southold
Tract 36103170204 ·
Suffolk County, NY · pop 4,461 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 36103170204 covers part of the Bay View area of Southold, NY, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 8%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,843
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$125,080
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay View
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Southold
Very Low
Within county
52th percentile
#184 of 384 tracts In Suffolk County
Moderate
Within state
29th percentile
#3,823 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Southold and the region
Centroid at 41.0342, -72.4111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay View scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Southold
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,318 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southold
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southold
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southold
5.3
How Bay View compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
33%Racial/ethnic minority
61%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.4%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
6.5%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
12.4%Frequent mental distress
27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay View
Against Suffolk County at 51.3%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Suffolk County average of 6.3 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103170204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103170204?
Census tract 36103170204 in the Bay View neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103170204?
Median gross rent is $2,318/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103170204?
3.6% of residents in tract 36103170204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,461.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103170204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 53th, minority 33th, housing 61th.
Q5
Is tract 36103170204 considered part of Bay View?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36103170204 fall within Bay View (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 36103170204 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 36103170204 compare to Southold overall?
Tract 36103170204 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Southold at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southold; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Southold
Top eight tracts in Southold ranked by composite eviction-risk score.