Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leland
Tract 37019020201 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 6,459 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Waterford in Leland anchors census tract 37019020201, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 74th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,646 a month against an average household income of $77,063 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,916
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$77,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leland and the region
Centroid at 34.2149, -78.0015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.8
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 330Total filings over 7 yrs
- 20.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.6%Peak (2012)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 240% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brunswick County average of 4.9 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 330 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 20.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 18.6% of renter households in 2012.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020201?
Census tract 37019020201 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020201?
Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020201?
16.2% of residents in tract 37019020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,459.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 36th, minority 47th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 37019020201 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020201 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37019020201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 330 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 37019020201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.41% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37019020201 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37019020201 compare to Leland overall?
Tract 37019020201 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Leland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related