Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leland
Tract 37019020201 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 6,459 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
37019020201 is a census tract in the Waterford area of Belville, NC. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,459 residents. The voucher gap is 28.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,916
Renter share39.6%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$77,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leland and the region
Centroid at 34.2149, -78.0015 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,646 rent vs county FMR
7.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
7.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.8
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 70%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 330Total filings over 7 yrs
- 20.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.6%Peak (2012)
- 34Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 240% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 9.6%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
Against Brunswick County at 40.6%, 50% of renters here are cost-burdened. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.9/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.8/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Brunswick County average of 3.8. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
The filing record is not thin: 330 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 18.6% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,646, 8% below the Belville average.
In a typical year about 20.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020201?
Census tract 37019020201 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020201?
Median gross rent is $1,646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020201?
16.2% of residents in tract 37019020201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,459.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 36th, minority 47th, housing 44th.
Q5
Is tract 37019020201 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020201 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37019020201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 330 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 37019020201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.41% of renter households, peaking at 18.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37019020201 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37019020201 compare to Leland overall?
Tract 37019020201 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Leland at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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