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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally

Waterford Eviction Risk: Moderate , Leland

Tract 37019020107 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 3,425 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.4/10, tract 37019020107 in the Waterford area of Leland, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,425. Cost burden runs 57% here against 40.6% across Brunswick County.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 12% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$69,572

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Waterford
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Leland
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 43 tracts In Brunswick County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#926 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Leland and the region

Centroid at 34.2461, -78.0259 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waterford scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,445 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.3

How Waterford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waterford risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.4This tracttract 0201073.7Lelandparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waterford

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is state political climate at 2.3/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.5/10. At $1,445 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Leland commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10. The voucher gap is 12.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 49th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $69,572.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020107

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020107?

Census tract 37019020107 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37019020107?

Median gross rent is $1,445/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020107?

14.4% of residents in tract 37019020107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,425.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020107?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 14th, minority 53th, housing 45th.
Q5

Is tract 37019020107 considered part of Waterford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020107 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 37019020107 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37019020107 compare to Leland overall?

Tract 37019020107 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Leland at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Leland

Top eight tracts in Leland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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