Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Lower , Leland
Tract 37019020107 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 3,425 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
The Waterford neighborhood of Leland is where census tract 37019020107 sits, home to 3,425 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 60% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,445 a month while the average household earns $69,572 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$69,572
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leland and the region
Centroid at 34.2461, -78.0259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,445 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.3
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 53%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waterford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.6%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Leland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Brunswick County average of 4.9 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020107?
Census tract 37019020107 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020107?
Median gross rent is $1,445/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020107?
14.4% of residents in tract 37019020107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,425.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 14th, minority 53th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 37019020107 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020107 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37019020107 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37019020107 compare to Leland overall?
Tract 37019020107 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Leland at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leland
Top eight tracts in Leland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related