Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Bald Head Island Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 37019020307 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 138 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Bald Head Island

With a score of 3/10, tract 37019020307 in Bald Head Island, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 138. The clearest offset is tenant-organizing strength at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 60% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 0% Owners 100%

Tract context

Occupied units86

SVI overall0.04

Poverty rate5.4%

Median income$205,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bald Head Island and the region

Centroid at 33.9226, -77.9544 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bald Head Island scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bald Head Island

4.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.8

State political climate

North Carolina legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

5.4% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bald Head Island

1.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bald Head Island

1.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bald Head Island

1.4

How Bald Head Island compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

1%Socioeconomic
14%Household composition
1%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

4.3%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
5.5%Food insecurity
3.7%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
11.0%Frequent mental distress
29.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bald Head Island

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Brunswick County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 60%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37019020307

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020307?

Census tract 37019020307 in Bald Head Island scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020307?

5.4% of residents in tract 37019020307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 138.

How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 14th, minority 1th, housing 33th.

What share of households in tract 37019020307 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 37019020307 compare to Bald Head Island overall?

Tract 37019020307 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bald Head Island at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bald Head Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.