Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes at Brunswick Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Leland
Tract 37019020205 · Brunswick County, NC · pop 8,868 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 37019020205 in the The Lakes at Brunswick Forest area of Leland, NC reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The voucher gap is 42.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units3,982
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$100,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leland and the region
Centroid at 34.1654, -78.0016 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes at Brunswick Forest scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leland
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,828 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leland
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leland
4.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leland
5.3
How The Lakes at Brunswick Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 8%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 5.4%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes at Brunswick Forest
The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10.
Against Brunswick County at 40.6%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
It sits 0.8 points below the Brunswick County average of 3.8. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 37019020205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37019020205?
Census tract 37019020205 in the The Lakes at Brunswick Forest neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37019020205?
Median gross rent is $1,828/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37019020205?
4.7% of residents in tract 37019020205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,868.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37019020205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 8th, minority 24th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 37019020205 considered part of The Lakes at Brunswick Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37019020205 fall within The Lakes at Brunswick Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37019020205 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37019020205 compare to Leland overall?
Tract 37019020205 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Leland at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leland
Top eight tracts in Leland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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