Tract 37049960301 Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8/10. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.2 points below the Craven County average of 4.2. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $87,831, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,063 a month.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.