Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally
Hope Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , Greensboro
Tract 37081012707 · Guilford County, NC · pop 2,647 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Here is how census tract 37081012707, in Hope Valley in Greensboro eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,647. On the national scale it ranks #13,127 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,015 a month while the average household earns $24,239 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. About 70% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$24,239
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greensboro and the region
Centroid at 36.0814, -79.7465 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hope Valley scores 6.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,015 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5
How Hope Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,041Total filings over 5 yrs
- 34.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.5%Peak (2013)
- 195Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.6%Food insecurity
- 39.9%SNAP enrollment
- 20.5%Transit barriers
- 19.1%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hope Valley
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Guilford County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 31.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,041 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 34.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 38.5% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 37081012707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081012707?
Census tract 37081012707 in the Hope Valley neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37081012707?
Median gross rent is $1,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37081012707?
34.9% of residents in tract 37081012707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37081012707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 94th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 37081012707 considered part of Hope Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081012707 fall within Hope Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081012707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,041 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081012707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.63% of renter households, peaking at 38.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37081012707 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37081012707 compare to Greensboro overall?
Tract 37081012707 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37081012707 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro
Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Warnersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Coventry Glen
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Maybrook
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Oak Grove
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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