Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Hope Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro
Tract 37081012707 · Guilford County, NC · pop 2,647 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 37081012707 in the Hope Valley area of Greensboro, NC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,647 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,033
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate34.9%
Median income$24,239
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greensboro and the region
Centroid at 36.0814, -79.7465 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hope Valley scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
34.9% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$1,015 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5
How Hope Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,041Total filings over 5 yrs
- 34.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 38.5%Peak (2013)
- 195Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 31.2%Housing insecurity
- 22.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.6%Food insecurity
- 39.9%SNAP enrollment
- 20.5%Transit barriers
- 19.1%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 45.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hope Valley
Cost burden runs 65% here against 44.7% across Guilford County. SNAP participation runs 39.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $24,239, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10. The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running hot, economic stress reads 8.7/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Guilford County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
The filing record is not thin: 1,041 evictions over 5 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 37081012707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081012707?
Census tract 37081012707 in the Hope Valley neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37081012707?
Median gross rent is $1,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37081012707?
34.9% of residents in tract 37081012707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37081012707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 90th, minority 94th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 37081012707 considered part of Hope Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081012707 fall within Hope Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081012707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,041 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081012707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.63% of renter households, peaking at 38.5% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37081012707 struggle to pay rent?
About 31.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37081012707 compare to Greensboro overall?
Tract 37081012707 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 37081012707 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro
Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Park Grove
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Maybrook
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Spring Valley
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37081010100
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
Nocho Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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