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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greensboro

Tract 37081015402 · Guilford County, NC · pop 6,825 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.7/10 for census tract 37081015402 reflects conditions in the Manchester area of Greensboro, North Carolina. On the national scale it ranks #30,391 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,052 monthly, set against $64,615 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 17% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,751
Renter share30.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.2%
Median income$64,615

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Manchester
Moderate
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42 of 82 tracts In Greensboro
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#50 of 126 tracts In Guilford County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#752 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greensboro and the region

Centroid at 36.1240, -79.7037 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manchester scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greensboro
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
16.2% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greensboro
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greensboro
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greensboro
3.5

How Manchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Manchester risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 015402Greensboro: 3.23.2Greensboroparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,199Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 22.38%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.9%Peak (2015)
  • 178Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370810154022005: 199 filings (25.25/100 renter HHs)2013: 234 filings (20.49/100 renter HHs)2014: 292 filings (25.57/100 renter HHs)2015: 296 filings (25.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 178 filings (14.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manchester

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Guilford County average of 5.5 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,199 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 22.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.9% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37081015402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37081015402?

Census tract 37081015402 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37081015402?

Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37081015402?

16.2% of residents in tract 37081015402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,825.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37081015402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 93th, minority 74th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 37081015402 considered part of Manchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37081015402 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37081015402?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,199 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 37081015402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 22.38% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37081015402 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37081015402 compare to Greensboro overall?

Tract 37081015402 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Greensboro at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greensboro eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greensboro

Top eight tracts in Greensboro ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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