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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Kenly Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37101040101 · Johnston County, NC · pop 3,263 · 57% of tract blocks fall in Kenly

Census tract 37101040101 covers part of Kenly, NC, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 20% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,228
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$59,063

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Kenly
Very High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 53 tracts In Johnston County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#478 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kenly and the region

Centroid at 35.5909, -78.1326 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kenly scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kenly
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$781 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kenly
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kenly
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kenly
7.5

How Kenly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kenly risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 0401014.3Kenlyparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kenly

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.

Cost burden runs 46% here against 35.7% across Johnston County. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10.

Against the Johnston County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.7/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $59,063, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $781, close to the Kenly average. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 37101040101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101040101?

Census tract 37101040101 in Kenly scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37101040101?

Median gross rent is $781/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37101040101?

12.9% of residents in tract 37101040101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,263.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37101040101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 83th, minority 52th, housing 54th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 37101040101 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 37101040101 compare to Kenly overall?

Tract 37101040101 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Kenly at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kenly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kenly

Top eight tracts in Kenly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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