Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Clayton
Tract 37101041104 · Johnston County, NC · pop 5,773 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 37101041104 sits in the Valley Creek area of Clayton eviction risk, NC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 5,773. Against Johnston County at 35.7%, about one in five of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,101
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$60,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clayton and the region
Centroid at 35.5873, -78.4676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Creek scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clayton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clayton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clayton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clayton
5.6
How Valley Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.8%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Creek
At $872 a month, rents run 48% under what the rest of Clayton commands. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10.
Against the Johnston County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Against average income of $60,889, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the NC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101041104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101041104?
Census tract 37101041104 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101041104?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101041104?
15.7% of residents in tract 37101041104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101041104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 3th, minority 64th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 37101041104 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101041104 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101041104 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101041104 compare to Clayton overall?
Tract 37101041104 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Clayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clayton
Top eight tracts in Clayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37101040209
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37101041001
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
37101041004
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NC
A. L. Spaugh
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Valley Creek
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041003
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041005
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041105
3
/ 10 · Low
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