Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally
Valley Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Clayton
Tract 37101041104 · Johnston County, NC · pop 5,773 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Here is how census tract 37101041104, in the Valley Creek neighborhood of Clayton eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 5,773. That is riskier than about 35% of US census tracts.
19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $872 a month while the average household earns $60,889 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,101
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$60,889
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clayton and the region
Centroid at 35.5873, -78.4676 · click any tract to drill in
Why Valley Creek scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clayton
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$872 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clayton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clayton
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clayton
5.6
How Valley Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Valley Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.7%Housing insecurity
- 10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.8%Food insecurity
- 17.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.6%Transit barriers
- 13.0%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Valley Creek
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Clayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Johnston County average of 5.0 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37101041104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37101041104?
Census tract 37101041104 in the Valley Creek neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37101041104?
Median gross rent is $872/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37101041104?
15.7% of residents in tract 37101041104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37101041104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 3th, minority 64th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 37101041104 considered part of Valley Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37101041104 fall within Valley Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37101041104 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37101041104 compare to Clayton overall?
Tract 37101041104 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Clayton at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Clayton
Top eight tracts in Clayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
37101040209
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041001
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041004
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Valley Creek
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041003
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041105
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
A. L. Spaugh
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37101041005
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
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