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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Lower , Cornelius

Tract 37119006407 · Mecklenburg County, NC · pop 4,110 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the Caldwell neighborhood of Cornelius, census tract 37119006407 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 49% of US census tracts.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,563 monthly, set against $123,058 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 17% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,387
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$123,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Caldwell
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 12 tracts In Cornelius
Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#291 of 305 tracts In Mecklenburg County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,555 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cornelius and the region

Centroid at 35.4509, -80.8524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Caldwell scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cornelius
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cornelius
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cornelius
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cornelius
4.5

How Caldwell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Caldwell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 006407Cornelius: 2.52.5Corneliusparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2016)
  • 14Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 371190064072005: 7 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2014: 9 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2016: 14 filings (4.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Caldwell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Caldwell

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cornelius eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mecklenburg County average of 5.5 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.3% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37119006407

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37119006407?

Census tract 37119006407 in the Caldwell neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37119006407?

Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37119006407?

1.5% of residents in tract 37119006407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,110.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37119006407?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 26th, minority 36th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 37119006407 considered part of Caldwell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37119006407 fall within Caldwell (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37119006407?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 37119006407 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.87% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 37119006407 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 37119006407 compare to Cornelius overall?

Tract 37119006407 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cornelius at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cornelius eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cornelius

Top eight tracts in Cornelius ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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