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Neighborhood · Cornelius, NC

Caldwell Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 11,624 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3–3.2

Caldwell spans 3 census tracts of Cornelius, NC, population 11,624. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.1/10, in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 29.5% citywide, putting Caldwell 21.6% over its own city.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Court records for this tract carry 40 eviction filings.

SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 7.9% of adults, 9.9 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.3% of renter households. That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Cornelius.

Judgments average 1.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Bailey Springs Neighborhood and Downtown.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 3 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 3.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.1
Lower
3 tracts · population-weighted
Caldwell vs Cornelius How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.1% +73%
Cornelius: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$1,819 +6%
Cornelius: $1,722
Average HH income
$106,784 -7%
Cornelius: $114,688
Poverty rate
2.4% -46%
Cornelius: 4.4%
Renter share
29.0% -5%
Cornelius: 30.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Caldwell and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3–3.2

Why Caldwell scores 3.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 4.6–6.1 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.9–2.2 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
29% renter households · Range 6.1–6.6 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–4.5 across tracts
4.2
Economic stress
2.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–5.9 across tracts
5.0
Risk score comparison

Caldwell vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Caldwell score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.1CaldwellNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Caldwell?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.2 points from 3 to 3.2. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Caldwell

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
37119006410 3.2 3,478 57% $1,922
37119006407 3 4,110 29% $1,563
37119006308 3 4,036 69% $1,990
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 16%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 33%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 31%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 5%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Caldwell

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings (sum)
  • 3.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 4.31%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Caldwell

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Caldwell

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Caldwell?

Caldwell scores 3.1/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Caldwell compare to Cornelius overall?

Caldwell scores 0.9 points lower than Cornelius overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,819 vs $1,722.
Q3

What is the average rent in Caldwell?

Average gross rent in Caldwell is $1,819/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Caldwell residents are renters?

29% of Caldwell households are renter-occupied (vs 31% in Cornelius). The neighborhood has 11,624 residents.
Q5

Is Caldwell a high social-vulnerability area?

Caldwell sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Caldwell have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Caldwell is census tract 37119006410 (score 3.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.2, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Caldwell for landlords?

Caldwell carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.1/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cornelius as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Caldwell?

Caldwell has 11,585 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (79.6%), Hispanic / Latino (6.7%), Other / Multiracial (6.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Caldwell

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cornelius

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Caldwell.

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