Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Spring Hope Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 37127011000 · Nash County, NC · pop 4,863 · 40% of tract blocks fall in Spring Hope
Spring Hope in Nash County anchors census tract 37127011000, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 71% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $867 a month while the average household earns $45,284 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,852
Renter share37.5%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$45,284
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Spring Hope and the region
Centroid at 35.9473, -78.1065 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spring Hope scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Spring Hope
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$867 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Spring Hope
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Spring Hope
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Spring Hope
6.6
How Spring Hope compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 80Total filings over 2 yrs
- 8.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2002)
- 36Filings in 2003 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.4%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.4%Food insecurity
- 21.0%SNAP enrollment
- 11.8%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 18.1%Frequent mental distress
- 40.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spring Hope
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Spring Hope, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Nash County average of 5.3 and above the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37127011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37127011000?
Census tract 37127011000 in Spring Hope scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37127011000?
Median gross rent is $867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37127011000?
10.0% of residents in tract 37127011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,863.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37127011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 84th, minority 73th, housing 55th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37127011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 80 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37127011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.27% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 37127011000 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37127011000 compare to Spring Hope overall?
Tract 37127011000 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Spring Hope at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Spring Hope; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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