Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Morgan Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Fuquay-Varina
Tract 37183053112 · Wake County, NC · pop 5,743 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Eviction risk in the Morgan Creek area of Fuquay-Varina centers on tract 37183053112, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,743 residents. That is riskier than about 52% of US census tracts.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,175 a month against an average household income of $109,583 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,662
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$109,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
8
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fuquay-Varina and the region
Centroid at 35.5648, -78.7891 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morgan Creek scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,175 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fuquay-Varina
5.1
How Morgan Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morgan Creek
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fuquay-Varina eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Wake County average of 5.3 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053112
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053112?
Census tract 37183053112 in the Morgan Creek neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053112?
Median gross rent is $1,175/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053112?
7.6% of residents in tract 37183053112 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,743.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053112?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 41th, minority 40th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053112 considered part of Morgan Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053112 fall within Morgan Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 37183053112 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 37183053112 compare to Fuquay-Varina overall?
Tract 37183053112 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Fuquay-Varina at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fuquay-Varina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fuquay-Varina
Top eight tracts in Fuquay-Varina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Scottsdale
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
37085071004
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Rowland Pond
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Squire Ridge
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Akins Place
2.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Stewart Manor
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Wind Haven South
1.9
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · NC
Durbin Village
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
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