Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally
Hillard Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Cary
Tract 37183053411 · Wake County, NC · pop 14,778 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 37183053411 belongs to the Hillard Forest area of Cary, North Carolina. It is home to 14,778 residents and scores 4.4/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,679 monthly, set against $176,650 in average yearly household income, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units4,410
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$176,650
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
26
th percentile
Low
Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cary and the region
Centroid at 35.7978, -78.8970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hillard Forest scores 1.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cary
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,679 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cary
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cary
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cary
3.0
How Hillard Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 112Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 60Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 4.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 17.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hillard Forest
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cary eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Wake County average of 5.3 and below the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 112 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 7.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 6.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 37183053411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37183053411?
Census tract 37183053411 in the Hillard Forest neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 37183053411?
Median gross rent is $1,679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 37183053411?
5.4% of residents in tract 37183053411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 14,778.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 37183053411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 50th, minority 71th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 37183053411 considered part of Hillard Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 37183053411 fall within Hillard Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37183053411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 112 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 37183053411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.73% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 37183053411 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 37183053411 compare to Cary overall?
Tract 37183053411 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Cary at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cary
Top eight tracts in Cary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NC
Curman E Martin
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Northwoods
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Russell Hills
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Matchpoint Village
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Whittington Park Northwoods
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Walnut Hills
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Franklin Chase
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · NC
Village at the Park
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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