Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Minot AFB Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 38101010902 · Ward County, ND · pop 2,854
Minot AFB is where census tract 38101010902 sits, home to 2,854 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
About 60% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,367 monthly, set against $55,095 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units666
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$55,095
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minot AFB and the region
Centroid at 48.4190, -101.3365 · click any tract to drill in
Why Minot AFB scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minot AFB
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minot AFB
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minot AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minot AFB
4.0
How Minot AFB compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.8%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Minot AFB
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Minot AFB eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ward County average of 3.9 and above the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 38101010902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010902?
Census tract 38101010902 in Minot AFB scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38101010902?
Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010902?
1.1% of residents in tract 38101010902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,854.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 12th, minority 59th, housing 43th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 38101010902 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 38101010902 compare to Minot AFB overall?
Tract 38101010902 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Minot AFB at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot AFB eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minot AFB
Top eight tracts in Minot AFB ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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