Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally

Minot AFB Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 38101010902 · Ward County, ND · pop 2,854

With a score of 3.7/10, tract 38101010902 in Minot AFB, ND reads lower for landlord eviction risk. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Ward County average of 34.0%.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59% Stable renters 40% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units666
Renter share99.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$55,095

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Minot AFB
Very High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 16 tracts In Ward County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#72 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
National
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#54,273 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minot AFB and the region

Centroid at 48.4190, -101.3365 · click any tract to drill in

Why Minot AFB scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minot AFB
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minot AFB
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minot AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minot AFB
4.0

How Minot AFB compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Minot AFB risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.7This tracttract 0109023.6Minot AFBparent city3.6Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Minot AFB

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 6.9% against 15.2% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 38101010902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38101010902?

Census tract 38101010902 in Minot AFB scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38101010902?

Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38101010902?

1.1% of residents in tract 38101010902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,854.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38101010902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 12th, minority 59th, housing 43th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 38101010902 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 38101010902 compare to Minot AFB overall?

Tract 38101010902 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Minot AFB at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minot AFB eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minot AFB

Top eight tracts in Minot AFB ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related