Census Tract · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Malvern Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39019720300 ·
Carroll County, OH · pop 4,996 · 26% of tract blocks fall in Malvern
With a score of 4.7/10, tract 39019720300 in Malvern, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,996. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Carroll County average of 20.8%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 17%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units2,308
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$53,636
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Malvern
Moderate
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 7 tracts In Carroll County
Very High
Within state
66th percentile
#1,088 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
National
55th percentile
#37,882 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Malvern and the region
Centroid at 40.6729, -81.1883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Malvern scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Malvern
3.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.4
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$619 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Malvern
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Malvern
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Malvern
7.4
How Malvern compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
77%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.4%Housing insecurity
8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
12.3%SNAP enrollment
7.5%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
18.1%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Malvern
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. Against the Carroll County average of 3.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Average gross rent is $619, 17% above the Malvern average. Court records carry 201 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 55% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $53,636, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39019720300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39019720300?
Census tract 39019720300 in Malvern scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39019720300?
Median gross rent is $619/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39019720300?
15.2% of residents in tract 39019720300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,996.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39019720300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 77th, minority 6th, housing 76th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39019720300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 201 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 39019720300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.54% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39019720300 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39019720300 compare to Malvern overall?
Tract 39019720300 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Malvern at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Malvern; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.