Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39021011505 · Champaign County, OH · pop 3,276 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 39021011505 covers the Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District area of Mechanicsburg in Ohio. Home to 3,276 residents, it scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 28% of US census tracts.
About 31% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $785 a month against an average household income of $66,908 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$66,908
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mechanicsburg and the region
Centroid at 40.0549, -83.5508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
5.9
How Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 158Total filings over 12 yrs
- 6.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2011)
- 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.3%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.2%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mechanicsburg, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Champaign County average of 4.5 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39021011505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39021011505?
Census tract 39021011505 in the Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39021011505?
Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39021011505?
13.5% of residents in tract 39021011505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,276.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39021011505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 32th, minority 7th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 39021011505 considered part of Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39021011505 fall within Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39021011505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39021011505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.57% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39021011505 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39021011505 compare to Mechanicsburg overall?
Tract 39021011505 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mechanicsburg at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicsburg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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