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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39021011505 · Champaign County, OH · pop 3,276 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 39021011505 in the Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District area of Mechanicsburg, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,276 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 21% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$66,908

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mechanicsburg
Moderate
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Champaign County
High
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#1,036 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mechanicsburg and the region

Centroid at 40.0549, -83.5508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$785 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
5.9

How Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0115054.0Mechanicsburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 158Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 6.57%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2011)
  • 7Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39021011505
Filings dropped 46% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.4/10. Against the Champaign County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 158 filings here across 12 tracked years. Against Champaign County at 35.2%, 31% of renters here are cost-burdened. Filings peaked in 2011 at 7.4% of renter households.

In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10.

Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $66,908, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $785, close to the Mechanicsburg average. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39021011505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39021011505?

Census tract 39021011505 in the Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39021011505?

Median gross rent is $785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39021011505?

13.5% of residents in tract 39021011505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,276.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39021011505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 32th, minority 7th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 39021011505 considered part of Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39021011505 fall within Mechanicsburg Commercial Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39021011505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 158 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39021011505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.57% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39021011505 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39021011505 compare to Mechanicsburg overall?

Tract 39021011505 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Mechanicsburg at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicsburg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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