Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #10,727 of 84,120 nationally
Garrett Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , East Cleveland
Tract 39035151800 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 1,426 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 7.4/10, tract 39035151800 in the Garrett Square area of East Cleveland, OH reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,426 residents. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cuyahoga County average of 43.0%.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units563
Renter share65.9%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate45.1%
Median income$26,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Cleveland and the region
Centroid at 41.5256, -81.5952 · click any tract to drill in
Why Garrett Square scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Cleveland
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
45.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$795 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Cleveland
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Cleveland
8.9
How Garrett Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 82%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 625Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.0%Peak (2006)
- 54Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 42% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Garrett Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.8%Housing insecurity
- 30.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.4%Food insecurity
- 51.9%SNAP enrollment
- 23.6%Transit barriers
- 14.4%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 47.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Garrett Square
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 51.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Cuyahoga County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.8 points. The poverty rate is 45%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.
Housing insecurity runs 33.8% against 14.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $26,458 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 625 filings here across 12 tracked years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39035151800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035151800?
Census tract 39035151800 in the Garrett Square neighborhood scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39035151800?
Median gross rent is $795/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39035151800?
45.1% of residents in tract 39035151800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,426.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39035151800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 93th, minority 98th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 39035151800 considered part of Garrett Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035151800 fall within Garrett Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035151800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 625 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035151800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.93% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39035151800 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39035151800 compare to East Cleveland overall?
Tract 39035151800 scores 7.4/10, higher than the parent city of East Cleveland at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Cleveland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39035151800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Cleveland
Top eight tracts in East Cleveland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Five Points
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hills
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Grandview
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Colonial Heights
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Forest Hill Historic District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Garrett Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Superior Hill
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Garrett Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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