Neighborhood · Ranked #33,355 of 84,120 nationally

Van Aken District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Shaker Heights

Tract 39035188103 · Cuyahoga County, OH · pop 3,243 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39035188103, home to 3,243 residents in the Van Aken District area of Shaker Heights, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,348 a month against an average household income of $67,083 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units1,239

Renter share14.8%

SVI overall0.57

Poverty rate9.1%

Median income$67,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shaker Heights and the region

Centroid at 41.4506, -81.5400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Van Aken District scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Shaker Heights

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.7

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

9.1% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$1,348 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Shaker Heights

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Shaker Heights

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Shaker Heights

6.6

How Van Aken District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
88%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
1%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

337Total filings over 12 yrs
15.28%Avg annual filing rate
15.9%Peak (2016)
52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2004 to 2016

Filings climbed 478% over the past 12 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Van Aken District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.8%Housing insecurity
12.8%Utility-shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
16.7%SNAP enrollment
10.0%Transit barriers
7.1%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
31.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Van Aken District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cuyahoga County average of 5.8 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39035188103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39035188103?

Census tract 39035188103 in the Van Aken District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39035188103?

Median gross rent is $1,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39035188103?

9.1% of residents in tract 39035188103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,243.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39035188103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 88th, minority 97th, housing 18th.

Is tract 39035188103 considered part of Van Aken District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39035188103 fall within Van Aken District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39035188103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 337 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 39035188103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.28% of renter households, peaking at 15.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 39035188103 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39035188103 compare to Shaker Heights overall?

Tract 39035188103 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Shaker Heights at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shaker Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39035188103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shaker Heights

Top eight tracts in Shaker Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.