Neighborhood · Ranked #14,316 of 84,120 nationally

St. Marys Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus

Tract 39049002510 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,719 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 39049002510 covers St. Marys in Columbus in Ohio. Home to 2,719 residents, it scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,130 a month against an average household income of $37,917 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 17% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,148

Renter share40.2%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate28.3%

Median income$37,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 39.9905, -82.9525 · click any tract to drill in

Why St. Marys scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Columbus

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

28.3% poverty · this tract

7.1

Supply constraint

$1,130 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Columbus

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Columbus

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Columbus

4.0

How St. Marys compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

92%Socioeconomic
97%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
12%Grade B
20%Grade C
8%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

680Total filings over 13 yrs
13.35%Avg annual filing rate
18.1%Peak (2015)
74Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2015

Filings climbed 16% over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

300Total filings 2020-21
3.9Avg monthly (observed)
4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.2%Housing insecurity
22.1%Utility-shutoff threat
38.6%Food insecurity
37.1%SNAP enrollment
19.0%Transit barriers
17.0%No health insurance
21.9%Frequent mental distress
40.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in St. Marys

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Part of this tract, about 8% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049002510

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049002510?

Census tract 39049002510 in the St. Marys neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39049002510?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049002510?

28.3% of residents in tract 39049002510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,719.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049002510?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 97th, minority 91th, housing 69th.

Is tract 39049002510 considered part of St. Marys?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049002510 fall within St. Marys (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049002510?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 680 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049002510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.35% of renter households, peaking at 18.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39049002510 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39049002510 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39049002510 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049002510 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39049002510 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org