Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Eviction Risk: Elevated , Columbus

Tract 39049002730 · Franklin County, OH · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 39049002730 runs through the Mayfair area of Columbus. With 2,536 residents, it scores 6.4/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.

About 79% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,060 a month against an average household income of $25,086 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 18% Owners 14%

Tract context

Occupied units1,046

Renter share85.8%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate57.3%

Median income$25,086

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 39.9708, -82.9102 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Columbus

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

57.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,060 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Columbus

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Columbus

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Columbus

4.0

How Mayfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

97%Socioeconomic
99%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
45%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

58%Grade A
16%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,704Total filings over 13 yrs
18.93%Avg annual filing rate
29.3%Peak (2005)
128Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2002 to 2015

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,174Total filings 2020-21
15.3Avg monthly (observed)
10.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.46×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

37.3%Housing insecurity
33.6%Utility-shutoff threat
52.7%Food insecurity
56.9%SNAP enrollment
27.5%Transit barriers
19.0%No health insurance
26.2%Frequent mental distress
45.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 37.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 33.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049002730

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049002730?

Census tract 39049002730 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39049002730?

Median gross rent is $1,060/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049002730?

57.3% of residents in tract 39049002730 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049002730?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 99th, minority 90th, housing 45th.

Is tract 39049002730 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049002730 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049002730?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,704 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049002730 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.93% of renter households, peaking at 29.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 39049002730 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.46× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 39049002730 struggle to pay rent?

About 37.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 33.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39049002730 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049002730 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 39049002730 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org