Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Northcrest Eviction Risk: Lower , Columbus

Tract 39049006395 · Franklin County, OH · pop 3,791 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Northcrest in Columbus is where census tract 39049006395 sits, home to 3,791 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

37% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,345 a month while the average household earns $72,136 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 32% Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,109
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$72,136

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Northcrest
Moderate
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 238 tracts In Columbus
Low
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#177 of 328 tracts In Franklin County
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,379 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Columbus and the region

Centroid at 40.0689, -83.0911 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northcrest scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,345 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0

How Northcrest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northcrest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 006395Columbus: 3.13.1Columbusparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 231Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.5%Peak (2011)
  • 17Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390490063952002: 18 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 11 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (1.04/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (1.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)2007: 19 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2009: 16 filings (2.77/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 25 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (2.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 17 filings (2.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 400Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.39×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (12.12× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (0.82× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (6.06× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2020-09-01: 11 filings (4.12× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (12.12× baseline)2021-02-01: 9 filings (2.45× baseline)2021-03-01: 3 filings (9.09× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (2.99× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (9.09× baseline)2021-09-01: 9 filings (3.37× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2022-01-01: 13 filings (39.39× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.27× baseline)2022-03-01: 7 filings (21.21× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (5.97× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (2.26× baseline)2022-06-01: 13 filings (4.87× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (12.12× baseline)2022-09-01: 19 filings (7.12× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 3 filings (9.09× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (2.72× baseline)2023-03-01: 15 filings (45.45× baseline)2023-04-01: 13 filings (19.40× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (8.27× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (4.19× baseline)2023-08-01: 7 filings (21.21× baseline)2023-09-01: 10 filings (3.75× baseline)2023-10-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (5.50× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 13 filings (39.39× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (1.63× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (21.21× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (7.46× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 8 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (3.59× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (24.24× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (15.15× baseline)2025-02-01: 9 filings (2.45× baseline)2025-03-01: 6 filings (18.18× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (10.45× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (2.62× baseline)2025-07-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-08-01: 8 filings (24.24× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northcrest

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.4 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39049006395

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006395?

Census tract 39049006395 in the Northcrest neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39049006395?

Median gross rent is $1,345/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006395?

8.7% of residents in tract 39049006395 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,791.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006395?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 5th, minority 34th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 39049006395 considered part of Northcrest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006395 fall within Northcrest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006395?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 231 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006395 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 39049006395 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.39× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 39049006395 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 39049006395 compare to Columbus overall?

Tract 39049006395 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Columbus

Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related