Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Northcrest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbus
Tract 39049006353 · Franklin County, OH · pop 5,442 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Northcrest area of Columbus, census tract 39049006353 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,121 a month against an average household income of $51,092 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units2,884
Renter share68.3%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate25.5%
Median income$51,092
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbus and the region
Centroid at 40.0588, -83.0698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northcrest scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbus
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.5% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbus
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbus
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbus
4.0
How Northcrest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 584Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2005)
- 38Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 582Total filings 2020-21
- 7.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.38×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Columbus, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Northcrest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.0%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.9%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 18.9%Frequent mental distress
- 26.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northcrest
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.38x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 37th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39049006353
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39049006353?
Census tract 39049006353 in the Northcrest neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39049006353?
Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39049006353?
25.5% of residents in tract 39049006353 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,442.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39049006353?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 10th, minority 49th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 39049006353 considered part of Northcrest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39049006353 fall within Northcrest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39049006353?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 584 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39049006353 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.02% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 39049006353 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.38× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Columbus eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 39049006353 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 39049006353 compare to Columbus overall?
Tract 39049006353 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Columbus at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbus
Top eight tracts in Columbus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
South Campus
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Franklinton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Eastland
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Northwood Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Tuttle Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Weinland Park
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Peach District
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Holly Hill
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Related