Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Blue Jay Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39061026102 · Hamilton County, OH · pop 3,049 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Blue Jay
Tract 39061026102 sits in Blue Jay, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. It is home to 3,049 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,206
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$47,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Moderate
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Blue Jay and the region
Centroid at 39.2073, -84.7877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Blue Jay scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Blue Jay
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blue Jay
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blue Jay
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blue Jay
6.3
How Blue Jay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 252Total filings over 16 yrs
- 18.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 20.9%Peak (2011)
- 18Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 153Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.93×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Cincinnati, OH as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.9%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 18.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Blue Jay
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against Hamilton County at 42.5%, 34% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 252 eviction filings across 16 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 20.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Hamilton County average of 4.4 closely. Average gross rent is $1,172, close to the Blue Jay average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $47,500.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39061026102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39061026102?
Census tract 39061026102 in Blue Jay scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39061026102?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39061026102?
12.4% of residents in tract 39061026102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,049.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39061026102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 52th, minority 12th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39061026102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 252 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 39061026102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.85% of renter households, peaking at 20.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 39061026102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Cincinnati eviction risk, OH), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39061026102 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39061026102 compare to Blue Jay overall?
Tract 39061026102 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Blue Jay at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blue Jay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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