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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Birmingham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oregon

Tract 39095004600 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,530 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 39095004600 in the Birmingham area of Toledo, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,530 residents. 26% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Lucas County average of 41.3%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 34% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units800
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$42,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Birmingham
Very High
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 121 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#554 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oregon and the region

Centroid at 41.6708, -83.4791 · click any tract to drill in

Why Birmingham scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oregon
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oregon
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oregon
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oregon
4.0

How Birmingham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Birmingham risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 004600Oregon: 3.43.4Oregonparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 651Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2005)
  • 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950046002003: 30 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 45 filings (11.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 61 filings (11.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 50 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2007: 40 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 39 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 41 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 42 filings (8.45/100 renter HHs)2012: 45 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2013: 47 filings (9.46/100 renter HHs)2014: 45 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)2016: 52 filings (11.26/100 renter HHs)2018: 43 filings (9.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Birmingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Birmingham

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10.

Court records carry 651 eviction filings across 15 observed years. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2005 at 11.9% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095004600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095004600?

Census tract 39095004600 in the Birmingham neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095004600?

Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095004600?

23.0% of residents in tract 39095004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,530.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095004600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 53th, minority 54th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 39095004600 considered part of Birmingham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095004600 fall within Birmingham (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095004600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 651 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.10% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095004600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095004600 compare to Oregon overall?

Tract 39095004600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Oregon at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oregon eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095004600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oregon

Top eight tracts in Oregon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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