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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Birmingham Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oregon

Tract 39095004600 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,530 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 39095004600 in Birmingham in Oregon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,530 residents. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 26% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $851 a month while the average household earns $42,552 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 34% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units800
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate23.0%
Median income$42,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Birmingham
Very High
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 121 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 168 tracts In Lucas County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#576 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oregon and the region

Centroid at 41.6708, -83.4791 · click any tract to drill in

Why Birmingham scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oregon
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
23.0% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$851 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oregon
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oregon
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oregon
4.0

How Birmingham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Birmingham risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 004600Oregon: 2.52.5Oregonparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 651Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.9%Peak (2005)
  • 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390950046002003: 30 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)2004: 45 filings (11.75/100 renter HHs)2005: 61 filings (11.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 50 filings (9.75/100 renter HHs)2007: 40 filings (7.80/100 renter HHs)2008: 39 filings (7.60/100 renter HHs)2009: 41 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 34 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 42 filings (8.45/100 renter HHs)2012: 45 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2013: 47 filings (9.46/100 renter HHs)2014: 45 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2015: 37 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)2016: 52 filings (11.26/100 renter HHs)2018: 43 filings (9.31/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Birmingham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Birmingham

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oregon eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 651 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 9.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.9% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095004600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095004600?

Census tract 39095004600 in the Birmingham neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39095004600?

Median gross rent is $851/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095004600?

23.0% of residents in tract 39095004600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,530.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095004600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 53th, minority 54th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 39095004600 considered part of Birmingham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095004600 fall within Birmingham (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095004600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 651 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095004600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.10% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39095004600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39095004600 compare to Oregon overall?

Tract 39095004600 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Oregon at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oregon eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39095004600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oregon

Top eight tracts in Oregon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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