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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Youngstown

Tract 39099811302 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,045 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 3.4/10, tract 39099811302 in the Elmwood Place area of Mahoning County, OH reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,045. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Mahoning County average of 42.6%.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 24% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,320
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$56,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Elmwood Place
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 75 tracts In Mahoning County
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,905 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0493, -80.6308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood Place scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
2.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$689 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
5.0

How Elmwood Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 8113024.5Youngstownparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Place

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.3/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 1.1 points below the Mahoning County average of 4.5. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Youngstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Against average income of $56,071, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent runs $689 a month.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099811302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811302?

Census tract 39099811302 in the Elmwood Place neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39099811302?

Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811302?

9.2% of residents in tract 39099811302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,045.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 93th, minority 40th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 39099811302 considered part of Elmwood Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811302 fall within Elmwood Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 39099811302 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39099811302 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099811302 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39099811302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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