Neighborhood · Ranked #49,882 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Place Eviction Risk: Lower , Youngstown

Tract 39099811302 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 3,045 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39099811302 (Elmwood Place in Youngstown, Ohio) comes in at 4.5/10, the Moderate tier. On the national scale it ranks #65,247 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $689 a month while the average household earns $56,071 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.5

Lower

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 24% Owners 66%

Tract context

Occupied units1,320

Renter share33.6%

SVI overall0.71

Poverty rate9.2%

Median income$56,071

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Youngstown and the region

Centroid at 41.0493, -80.6308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood Place scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Youngstown

2.4

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.9

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

9.2% poverty · this tract

2.3

Supply constraint

$689 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Youngstown

2.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Youngstown

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Youngstown

5.0

How Elmwood Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

2%Grade A
0%Grade B
13%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.7%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
8.9%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
33.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Place

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Mahoning County average of 5.8 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39099811302

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099811302?

Census tract 39099811302 in the Elmwood Place neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39099811302?

Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39099811302?

9.2% of residents in tract 39099811302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,045.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39099811302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 93th, minority 40th, housing 44th.

Is tract 39099811302 considered part of Elmwood Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099811302 fall within Elmwood Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39099811302 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39099811302 compare to Youngstown overall?

Tract 39099811302 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39099811302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.