Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Elmwood Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , Youngstown
Tract 39099801400 · Mahoning County, OH · pop 1,962 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 39099801400 covers part of the Elmwood Place area of Youngstown, OH, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,962. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units945
Renter share26.8%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$52,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Youngstown and the region
Centroid at 41.0553, -80.6223 · click any tract to drill in
Why Elmwood Place scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Youngstown
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$970 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Youngstown
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Youngstown
8.6
How Elmwood Place compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 95Total filings over 7 yrs
- 7.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 91% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Elmwood Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.4%Food insecurity
- 15.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Elmwood Place
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Average gross rent is $970, 33% above the Youngstown average. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.6/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Mahoning County average of 42.6%. The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Court records carry 95 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 7.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39099801400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39099801400?
Census tract 39099801400 in the Elmwood Place neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39099801400?
Median gross rent is $970/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39099801400?
18.1% of residents in tract 39099801400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,962.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39099801400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 83th, minority 14th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 39099801400 considered part of Elmwood Place?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39099801400 fall within Elmwood Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39099801400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 95 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 39099801400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.44% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39099801400 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39099801400 compare to Youngstown overall?
Tract 39099801400 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Youngstown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Youngstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39099801400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Youngstown
Top eight tracts in Youngstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Lansdowne
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Schenley Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
East High
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Belle Vista
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Gibsonville
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Cochran Park East
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Wick Park Historic District
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Lansingville Heights
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Related