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Census Tract · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113000801 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,819 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Dayton

In Dayton, census tract 39113000801 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 60th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $930 monthly, set against $43,845 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 32% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,627
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate25.7%
Median income$43,845

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Moderate
Within county
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#485 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#19,562 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7904, -84.2201 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
25.7% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$930 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 000801Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,490Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 13.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.2%Peak (2014)
  • 79Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130008012002: 101 filings (12.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 92 filings (11.10/100 renter HHs)2004: 79 filings (9.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 101 filings (19.57/100 renter HHs)2006: 91 filings (17.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 90 filings (17.44/100 renter HHs)2008: 84 filings (16.28/100 renter HHs)2009: 66 filings (12.79/100 renter HHs)2010: 94 filings (12.86/100 renter HHs)2011: 90 filings (14.33/100 renter HHs)2012: 70 filings (11.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 84 filings (13.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 102 filings (16.24/100 renter HHs)2015: 100 filings (15.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 84 filings (10.63/100 renter HHs)2017: 83 filings (10.51/100 renter HHs)2018: 79 filings (10.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113000801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000801?

Census tract 39113000801 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113000801?

Median gross rent is $930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000801?

25.7% of residents in tract 39113000801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,819.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 89th, minority 87th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,490 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.62% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113000801 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113000801 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113000801 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113000801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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