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Census Tract · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally

Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39113000400 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 4,452

Eviction risk in Dayton eviction risk in Montgomery County centers on tract 39113000400, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,452 residents. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $857 a month while the average household earns $47,813 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,670
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$47,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 51 tracts In Dayton
Elevated
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 156 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#424 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
High
National
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#18,240 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dayton and the region

Centroid at 39.7777, -84.2402 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dayton scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$857 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5

How Dayton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dayton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.55.5This tracttract 000400Dayton: 3.43.4Daytonparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,135Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 11.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.0%Peak (2018)
  • 100Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391130004002002: 46 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)2003: 55 filings (10.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 53 filings (10.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (9.05/100 renter HHs)2006: 62 filings (11.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 57 filings (10.12/100 renter HHs)2008: 69 filings (12.25/100 renter HHs)2009: 70 filings (12.42/100 renter HHs)2010: 60 filings (9.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 66 filings (12.41/100 renter HHs)2012: 60 filings (11.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 59 filings (11.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 77 filings (14.47/100 renter HHs)2015: 84 filings (15.79/100 renter HHs)2016: 78 filings (9.39/100 renter HHs)2017: 88 filings (10.59/100 renter HHs)2018: 100 filings (12.03/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 117% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dayton

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dayton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 26.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 21.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39113000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000400?

Census tract 39113000400 in Dayton scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39113000400?

Median gross rent is $857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000400?

28.0% of residents in tract 39113000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,452.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 96th, minority 93th, housing 58th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,135 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.26% of renter households, peaking at 12.0% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 39113000400 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 39113000400 compare to Dayton overall?

Tract 39113000400 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 39113000400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Dayton

Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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