Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Dayton Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39113000500 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 3,724 · 85% of tract blocks fall in Dayton
39113000500 is a census tract in Dayton, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,724 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,797
Renter share51.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate27.2%
Median income$46,051
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dayton and the region
Centroid at 39.7884, -84.2321 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dayton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
27.2% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$874 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dayton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dayton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dayton
3.5
How Dayton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 28%Grade A
- 23%Grade B
- 4%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,963Total filings over 17 yrs
- 12.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.5%Peak (2017)
- 123Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 35% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.9%Housing insecurity
- 16.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.8%Food insecurity
- 23.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 8.6%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dayton
Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 56% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 4.2.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Court records carry 1,963 eviction filings across 17 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 23.6% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2017, when 17.5% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Dayton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113000500?
Census tract 39113000500 in Dayton scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113000500?
Median gross rent is $874/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113000500?
27.2% of residents in tract 39113000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,724.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 67th, minority 86th, housing 34th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,963 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.75% of renter households, peaking at 17.5% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39113000500 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39113000500 compare to Dayton overall?
Tract 39113000500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dayton at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dayton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 39113000500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dayton
Top eight tracts in Dayton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
West Third Street Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Twin Towers
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Dunbar Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39113000400
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Huffman Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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