Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally
Gunckels Town Plan Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Germantown
Tract 39113165000 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 6,918 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 39113165000 covers the Gunckels Town Plan Historic District neighborhood of Germantown, home to 6,918 residents. For landlords it grades 5.5/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $933 monthly, set against $85,543 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 19% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,686
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$85,543
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.6334, -84.3639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gunckels Town Plan Historic District scores 2.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.7
How Gunckels Town Plan Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 303Total filings over 17 yrs
- 3.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2011)
- 17Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gunckels Town Plan Historic District
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113165000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113165000?
Census tract 39113165000 in the Gunckels Town Plan Historic District neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113165000?
Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113165000?
8.3% of residents in tract 39113165000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113165000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 59th, minority 9th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 39113165000 considered part of Gunckels Town Plan Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113165000 fall within Gunckels Town Plan Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113165000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 303 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113165000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.84% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113165000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113165000 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 39113165000 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Germantown at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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