Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Gunckels Town Plan Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Germantown
Tract 39113165000 · Montgomery County, OH · pop 6,918 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
39113165000 is a census tract in the Gunckels Town Plan Historic District area of Germantown, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,918 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units2,686
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$85,543
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
25
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.6334, -84.3639 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gunckels Town Plan Historic District scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$933 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.7
How Gunckels Town Plan Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 9%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 303Total filings over 17 yrs
- 3.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2011)
- 17Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 17 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gunckels Town Plan Historic District
17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.1/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Montgomery County average of 4.2. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.7/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 303 evictions over 17 years of observation.
Against Montgomery County at 42.9%, 47% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39113165000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39113165000?
Census tract 39113165000 in the Gunckels Town Plan Historic District neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39113165000?
Median gross rent is $933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39113165000?
8.3% of residents in tract 39113165000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39113165000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 59th, minority 9th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 39113165000 considered part of Gunckels Town Plan Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39113165000 fall within Gunckels Town Plan Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39113165000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 303 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 39113165000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.84% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39113165000 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39113165000 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 39113165000 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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