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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Shelby Center Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39139002600 · Richland County, OH · pop 4,653 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Shelby Center Historic District in Shelby is where census tract 39139002600 sits, home to 4,653 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. That is riskier than about 56% of US census tracts.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $733 monthly, set against $53,067 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,900
Renter share44.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$53,067

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shelby Center Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Shelby
Very High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 30 tracts In Richland County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#1,081 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelby and the region

Centroid at 40.8885, -82.6638 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shelby Center Historic District scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Shelby
3.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.0
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$733 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelby
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelby
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelby
5.4

How Shelby Center Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shelby Center Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 002600Shelby: 2.42.4Shelbyparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 315Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2005)
  • 14Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2005 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391390026002005: 37 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2006: 36 filings (4.14/100 renter HHs)2009: 22 filings (2.53/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)2011: 33 filings (3.29/100 renter HHs)2012: 17 filings (1.70/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (2.99/100 renter HHs)2014: 35 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (3.49/100 renter HHs)2016: 25 filings (2.31/100 renter HHs)2017: 14 filings (1.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shelby Center Historic District

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shelby, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Richland County average of 5.4 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39139002600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39139002600?

Census tract 39139002600 in the Shelby Center Historic District neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39139002600?

Median gross rent is $733/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39139002600?

16.0% of residents in tract 39139002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,653.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39139002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 38th, minority 12th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 39139002600 considered part of Shelby Center Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39139002600 fall within Shelby Center Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39139002600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 315 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39139002600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.01% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39139002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39139002600 compare to Shelby overall?

Tract 39139002600 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Shelby at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelby; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Shelby

Top eight tracts in Shelby ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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