Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Morgandale
Tract 39155921300 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,269 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 39155921300 runs through the Crystal Springs area of Morgandale. With 2,269 residents, it scores 6.5/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $943 a month against an average household income of $42,348 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,067
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$42,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Morgandale and the region
Centroid at 41.2652, -80.7922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Springs scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Morgandale
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morgandale
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morgandale
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morgandale
9.4
How Crystal Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2016)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 22.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Springs
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Morgandale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 2.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.1% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921300?
Census tract 39155921300 in the Crystal Springs neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921300?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921300?
29.8% of residents in tract 39155921300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 82th, minority 46th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921300 considered part of Crystal Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921300 fall within Crystal Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.12% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921300 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921300 compare to Morgandale overall?
Tract 39155921300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Morgandale at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morgandale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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