Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Crystal Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Morgandale
Tract 39155921300 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,269 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 39155921300 sits in the Crystal Springs area of Morgandale, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 2,269 residents. What pushes it up most is housing-court posture at 9.4/10.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,067
Renter share52.1%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate29.8%
Median income$42,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Morgandale and the region
Centroid at 41.2652, -80.7922 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crystal Springs scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Morgandale
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
29.8% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Morgandale
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Morgandale
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Morgandale
9.4
How Crystal Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2016)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 11.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.3%Food insecurity
- 22.8%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 19.2%Frequent mental distress
- 40.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Crystal Springs
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
It sits 1.7 points above the Trumbull County average of 4.1. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions over 1 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 22.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 2.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 2.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155921300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155921300?
Census tract 39155921300 in the Crystal Springs neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155921300?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155921300?
29.8% of residents in tract 39155921300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,269.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155921300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 82th, minority 46th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 39155921300 considered part of Crystal Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155921300 fall within Crystal Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155921300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155921300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.12% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155921300 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155921300 compare to Morgandale overall?
Tract 39155921300 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Morgandale at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Morgandale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155921300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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