Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Rose Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newton Falls
Tract 39155933600 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 4,705 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 39155933600 runs through the Rose Park area of Newton Falls. With 4,705 residents, it scores 5.7/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $713 a month while the average household earns $52,472 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,302
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$52,472
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
55
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newton Falls and the region
Centroid at 41.1926, -80.9680 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rose Park scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newton Falls
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$713 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newton Falls
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newton Falls
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newton Falls
6.4
How Rose Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2016)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.1%Food insecurity
- 11.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rose Park
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newton Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155933600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933600?
Census tract 39155933600 in the Rose Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155933600?
Median gross rent is $713/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933600?
13.0% of residents in tract 39155933600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,705.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 23th, minority 4th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 39155933600 considered part of Rose Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933600 fall within Rose Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.96% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155933600 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155933600 compare to Newton Falls overall?
Tract 39155933600 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Newton Falls at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newton Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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