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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Watonga Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 40011958900 · Blaine County, OK · pop 3,141 · 89% of tract blocks fall in Watonga

Census tract 40011958900 sits in Watonga, Oklahoma eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $840 a month while the average household earns $50,969 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 23% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units930
Renter share36.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$50,969

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Watonga
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Blaine County
Moderate
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#428 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Elevated
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Watonga and the region

Centroid at 35.8544, -98.4109 · click any tract to drill in

Why Watonga scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Watonga
2.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
1.9
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$840 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watonga
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watonga
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watonga
5.0

How Watonga compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Watonga risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 958900Watonga: 2.72.7Watongaparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 122Total filings over 19 yrs
  • 1.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2017)
  • 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 400119589002000: 2 filings (0.48/100 renter HHs)2001: 7 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (0.72/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2007: 4 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2008: 9 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2009: 5 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2010: 5 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (1.91/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (1.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (2.19/100 renter HHs)2015: 7 filings (1.91/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2017: 13 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2018: 9 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 350% over the past 19 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Watonga

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Watonga, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Blaine County average of 3.8 and in line with the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 122 eviction filings here over 19 tracked years, with about 1.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2017.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 40011958900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40011958900?

Census tract 40011958900 in Watonga scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40011958900?

Median gross rent is $840/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40011958900?

14.0% of residents in tract 40011958900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,141.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40011958900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 68th, minority 68th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 40011958900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 122 eviction filings across 19 validated years in tract 40011958900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.58% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 40011958900 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40011958900 compare to Watonga overall?

Tract 40011958900 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Watonga at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watonga; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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