Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Bowden Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oakhurst
Tract 40037020102 ·
Creek County, OK · pop 1,159 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 40037020102 sits in the Bowden area of Oakhurst, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Cost burden runs 42% here against 30.3% across Creek County.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 16%Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units434
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$41,047
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bowden
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Oakhurst
Moderate
Within county
82th percentile
#5 of 23 tracts In Creek County
High
Within state
92th percentile
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakhurst and the region
Centroid at 36.0555, -96.0817 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowden scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$875 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakhurst
5.8
How Bowden compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
65%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
98%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
20.6%Housing insecurity
16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
29.9%Food insecurity
28.7%SNAP enrollment
14.7%Transit barriers
15.9%No health insurance
21.6%Frequent mental distress
48.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowden
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.1% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Creek County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $875, close to the Oakhurst average.
Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $41,047.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40037020102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40037020102?
Census tract 40037020102 in the Bowden neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40037020102?
Median gross rent is $875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40037020102?
28.8% of residents in tract 40037020102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40037020102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 64th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 40037020102 considered part of Bowden?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40037020102 fall within Bowden (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40037020102 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40037020102 compare to Oakhurst overall?
Tract 40037020102 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Oakhurst at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakhurst; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.