Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Bowden Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oakhurst
Tract 40037020102 · Creek County, OK · pop 1,159 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Here is how census tract 40037020102, in Bowden in Oakhurst, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,159. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $875 monthly, set against $41,047 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units434
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$41,047
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oakhurst and the region
Centroid at 36.0555, -96.0817 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowden scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$875 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakhurst
5.8
How Bowden compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.6%Housing insecurity
- 16.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.9%Food insecurity
- 28.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.7%Transit barriers
- 15.9%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 48.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowden
What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oakhurst, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Creek County average of 4.2 and above the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 40037020102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40037020102?
Census tract 40037020102 in the Bowden neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40037020102?
Median gross rent is $875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40037020102?
28.8% of residents in tract 40037020102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,159.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40037020102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 64th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 40037020102 considered part of Bowden?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40037020102 fall within Bowden (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40037020102 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40037020102 compare to Oakhurst overall?
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