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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Bowden Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oakhurst

Tract 40037020102 · Creek County, OK · pop 1,159 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 40037020102 sits in the Bowden area of Oakhurst, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Cost burden runs 42% here against 30.3% across Creek County.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 16% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units434
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate28.8%
Median income$41,047

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bowden
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oakhurst
Moderate
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 23 tracts In Creek County
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakhurst and the region

Centroid at 36.0555, -96.0817 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bowden scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
28.8% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$875 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oakhurst
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oakhurst
5.8

How Bowden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bowden risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0201023.4Oakhurstparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bowden

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.1% against 31.5% nationally. The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10. Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 2.3/10. Against the Creek County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $875, close to the Oakhurst average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $41,047.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40037020102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40037020102?

Census tract 40037020102 in the Bowden neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40037020102?

Median gross rent is $875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40037020102?

28.8% of residents in tract 40037020102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,159.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40037020102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 64th, minority 52th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 40037020102 considered part of Bowden?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40037020102 fall within Bowden (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40037020102 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40037020102 compare to Oakhurst overall?

Tract 40037020102 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Oakhurst at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakhurst; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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