Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
The Lakes at Bailey Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Owasso
Tract 40143005808 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 4,326 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 40143005808 in the The Lakes at Bailey Ranch area of Owasso, OK reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 21% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share7.7%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$119,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
9
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Owasso and the region
Centroid at 36.2829, -95.8923 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Lakes at Bailey Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Owasso
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,772 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Owasso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Owasso
1.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Owasso
1.5
How The Lakes at Bailey Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 30%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Lakes at Bailey Ranch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.4%Food insecurity
- 8.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 50.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $1,772 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Owasso commands.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
SNAP participation runs 8.2% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Tulsa County average of 3.7.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.
Against average income of $119,250, annual rent is just 18%.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143005808
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143005808?
Census tract 40143005808 in the The Lakes at Bailey Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143005808?
Median gross rent is $1,772/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143005808?
3.4% of residents in tract 40143005808 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,326.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143005808?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 49th, minority 50th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 40143005808 considered part of The Lakes at Bailey Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143005808 fall within The Lakes at Bailey Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40143005808 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40143005808 compare to Owasso overall?
Tract 40143005808 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Owasso at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Owasso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Owasso
Top eight tracts in Owasso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Baptist Village
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Baptist Village
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40131050403
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40131050404
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40131050405
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40131050406
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Baptist Village
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
The Lakes at Bailey Ranch
3
/ 10 · Low
Related