Skip to content
Neighborhood · Owasso, OK

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,547 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch is a 2-tract neighborhood of Owasso, OK and houses 12,547 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 1/10. 27% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 1.5/10.

The voucher gap is 21.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 14%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. At $1,429 a month, rents sit 13% over what the rest of Owasso commands.

That places it #2 of 4 neighborhoods in Owasso. For a like-for-like read, Crescent Ridge and The Falls at Garrett Creek score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $98,835, annual rent is only 17%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
The Lakes at Bailey Ranch vs Owasso How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
26.5% -4%
Owasso: 27.6%
Average gross rent
$1,429 +13%
Owasso: $1,270
Average HH income
$98,835 +24%
Owasso: $79,386
Poverty rate
5.6% -16%
Owasso: 6.7%
Renter share
30.1% -18%
Owasso: 36.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Lakes at Bailey Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3

Why The Lakes at Bailey Ranch scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Rent control risk
27% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.6–10.0 across tracts
7.1
Risk score comparison

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch score vs. parent city, state, U.S.The Lakes at Baile: 3.03.0The Lakes at BaileNeighborhoodParent city: 3.23.2Parent cityhost cityState: 3.53.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
40143005809 3 8,221 29% $1,249
40143005808 3 4,326 21% $1,772
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 30

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 20%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 53%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 45%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 35%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About The Lakes at Bailey Ranch

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for The Lakes at Bailey Ranch?

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does The Lakes at Bailey Ranch compare to Owasso overall?

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch scores 0.2 points lower than Owasso overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 27% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $1,429 vs $1,270.
Q3

What is the average rent in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch?

Average gross rent in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch is $1,429/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of The Lakes at Bailey Ranch residents are renters?

30% of The Lakes at Bailey Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Owasso). The neighborhood has 12,547 residents.
Q5

Is The Lakes at Bailey Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch sits in the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in The Lakes at Bailey Ranch is census tract 40143005809 (score 3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is The Lakes at Bailey Ranch for landlords?

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Owasso as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of The Lakes at Bailey Ranch?

The Lakes at Bailey Ranch has 13,031 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.5%), Other / Multiracial (13.4%), Hispanic / Latino (6.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Lakes at Bailey Ranch

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Owasso

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Lakes at Bailey Ranch.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further