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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Mingo Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulsa

Tract 40143007102 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,538 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Here is how census tract 40143007102, in Mingo Valley in Tulsa eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 4.2/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,538. That is riskier than about 15% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $832 a month against an average household income of $43,651 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 38% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units1,055
Renter share66.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$43,651

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Mingo Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#53 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
Elevated
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#281 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulsa and the region

Centroid at 36.1392, -95.8729 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mingo Valley scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$832 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5

How Mingo Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mingo Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 007102Tulsa: 2.32.3Tulsaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mingo Valley

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Tulsa County average of 4.1 and in line with the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 19.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007102?

Census tract 40143007102 in the Mingo Valley neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007102?

Median gross rent is $832/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007102?

20.9% of residents in tract 40143007102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,538.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 71th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007102 considered part of Mingo Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007102 fall within Mingo Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007102 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007102 compare to Tulsa overall?

Tract 40143007102 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tulsa at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa

Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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