Neighborhood · Ranked #17,526 of 84,120 nationally

Errol Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milwaukie

Tract 41005021601 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 6,461 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 41005021601 sits in the Errol Heights neighborhood of Milwaukie, Oregon. It has a population of 6,461 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 36% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 21% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,541/month against a median household income of $87,232 — roughly 21% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 31% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units2,655

Renter share47.9%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate4.8%

Median income$87,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region

Centroid at 45.4551, -122.5855 · click any tract to drill in

Why Errol Heights scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Milwaukie

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.6

State political climate

Oregon legislature & governorship

7.2

Economic stress

4.8% poverty · this tract

1.2

Supply constraint

$1,541 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Milwaukie

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Milwaukie

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Milwaukie

8.5

How Errol Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
49%Racial/ethnic minority
97%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

489Total filings over 6 yrs
6.26%Avg annual filing rate
8.4%Peak (2007)
50Filings in 2013 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2007 — 2013

Filings dropped 55% over the past 6 months.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Errol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005021601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021601?

Census tract 41005021601 in the Errol Heights neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 41005021601?

Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021601?

4.8% of residents in tract 41005021601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,461.

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 48th, minority 49th, housing 97th.

Is tract 41005021601 considered part of Errol Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021601 fall within Errol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 489 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

How does tract 41005021601 compare to Milwaukie overall?

Tract 41005021601 scores 6.1/10 — lower than the parent city of Milwaukie at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 41005021601 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie

Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.