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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,043 of 84,120 nationally

Errol Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milwaukie

Tract 41005021601 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 6,461 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 41005021601 covers part of the Errol Heights area of Portland, OR, and scores 7.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Clackamas County at 50.1%, 36% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 31% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$87,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Errol Heights
Very High
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 168 tracts In Milwaukie
Elevated
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 87 tracts In Clackamas County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#111 of 994 tracts In Oregon
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region

Centroid at 45.4551, -122.5855 · click any tract to drill in

Why Errol Heights scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.5

How Errol Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Errol Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.8This tracttract 0216016.5Milwaukieparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 489Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.4%Peak (2007)
  • 50Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2007 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41005021601
Filings dropped 55% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Errol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Errol Heights

The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. It sits 2.2 points above the Clackamas County average of 5.6.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 489 filings here across 6 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 8.4% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41005021601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021601?

Census tract 41005021601 in the Errol Heights neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41005021601?

Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021601?

4.8% of residents in tract 41005021601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,461.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 48th, minority 49th, housing 97th.
Q5

Is tract 41005021601 considered part of Errol Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021601 fall within Errol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 489 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41005021601 compare to Milwaukie overall?

Tract 41005021601 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of Milwaukie at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41005021601 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie

Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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