Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Errol Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Milwaukie
Tract 41005021601 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 6,461 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
How risky is the Errol Heights area of Milwaukie for landlords? Census tract 41005021601 scores 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 77% of US census tracts.
About 36% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,541 monthly, set against $87,232 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units2,655
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$87,232
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region
Centroid at 45.4551, -122.5855 · click any tract to drill in
Why Errol Heights scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,541 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.5
How Errol Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 489Total filings over 6 yrs
- 6.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2007)
- 50Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Errol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Errol Heights
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 489 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.4% of renter households in 2007.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021601?
Census tract 41005021601 in the Errol Heights neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021601?
Median gross rent is $1,541/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021601?
4.8% of residents in tract 41005021601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,461.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 48th, minority 49th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021601 considered part of Errol Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021601 fall within Errol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 489 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.26% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021601 compare to Milwaukie overall?
Tract 41005021601 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Milwaukie at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41005021601 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie
Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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