Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Errol Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Milwaukie
Tract 41005021000 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 4,871 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Tract 41005021000 sits in the Errol Heights area of Milwaukie eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.2/10. Population here is 4,871. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,068
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$105,676
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Milwaukie and the region
Centroid at 45.4533, -122.6109 · click any tract to drill in
Why Errol Heights scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,731 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milwaukie
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milwaukie
6.0
How Errol Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 29%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 94Total filings over 6 yrs
- 2.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2007)
- 12Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Errol Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Errol Heights
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.4/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 94 filings here across 6 tracked years.
Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2007 at 3.0% of renter households. At $1,731 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Milwaukie commands.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021000?
Census tract 41005021000 in the Errol Heights neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021000?
Median gross rent is $1,731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021000?
5.5% of residents in tract 41005021000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,871.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 29th, minority 31th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021000 considered part of Errol Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021000 fall within Errol Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 94 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.45% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021000 compare to Milwaukie overall?
Tract 41005021000 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Milwaukie at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milwaukie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41005021000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Milwaukie
Top eight tracts in Milwaukie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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