Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Florence Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039000705 · Lane County, OR · pop 4,071
Census tract 41039000705 belongs to Florence, Oregon. It is home to 4,071 residents and scores 6.1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,162 a month while the average household earns $46,859 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units2,086
Renter share46.6%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$46,859
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Florence and the region
Centroid at 43.9857, -124.1141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Florence scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Florence
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,162 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Florence
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Florence
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Florence
6.2
How Florence compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 151Total filings over 16 yrs
- 1.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2000)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 52% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 64Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Florence
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Florence, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.20x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039000705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000705?
Census tract 41039000705 in Florence scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039000705?
Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000705?
12.4% of residents in tract 41039000705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,071.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 97th, minority 25th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000705?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 151 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41039000705 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41039000705 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41039000705 compare to Florence overall?
Tract 41039000705 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Florence at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Florence; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Florence
Top eight tracts in Florence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related